October  2026 • PharmaTimes Magazine • 28-29

// AI IN NHS //


Pharma’s market

Why pharma needs to firm up measurement to drive customer-centricity

The first half of this year has seen a decisive rebound in major transactions, mergers and acquisitions between life sciences organisations, as big pharma companies scale global commercial operations, firm up pipelines and accelerate AI-driven medical research.

As expenditure grows, the pressure to prove every marketing pound is intensifying, yet only 20% of brands have a clearly defined marketing measurement approach.

Life sciences organisations are building increasingly complex data ecosystems, from real-time patient-centric funnels to AI-enabled R&D, further complicated by diverse tech stacks as a result of M&A activity and complex omnichannel journeys.

Having a clear overview of what is working – and what is not – is essential to understanding effectiveness, driving optimisation and ultimately keeping pace with scientific innovation and regulatory scrutiny.

But many organisations do not have a clearly defined measurement approach, and few are satisfied with their current solution.

Launch waves, global campaigns and complex omnichannel journeys demand clarity on diminishing returns, promotional impact and the healthcare professional (HCP) to consumer funnel. However, recent shifts, driven by technological advancements and tighter privacy regulations, have disrupted attribution-based models that marketers have come to rely on, leaving significant gaps in their view of marketing effectiveness – and consequently return on investment.

Pharma marketers must rethink their measurement strategies and adopt a more flexible, layered approach that reflects both the growing complexity of B2B and consumer customer journeys and tracking limitations to gain actionable insights.
Marketing Mix Modelling (MMM) has a well-established role in helping marketers understand the broader drivers of sales, but insights were traditionally delivered in static reports every 6-12 months.

Today’s always-on marketing strategies require models that are more dynamic – providing detailed, frequent outputs that facilitate agile planning and activation.

Today’s market

Traditional models provide limited transparency into how outputs are generated or insights on how they can be tailored to specific brand requirements. But AI and automation have opened the door for a new type of MMM, reducing its barrier to entry and giving brands the opportunity to enable customised models that are tailored towards their requirements.

Advanced models can take account of many more channels than before. A well-designed setup should consider everything from branded search, out of home and connected TV campaigns to wider factors such as pricing, seasonality and competitor activity – providing brands with robust insights on every variable that impacts awareness, conversion and sales.

For an MMM to drive true effectiveness, it must closely align with a brand’s marketing objectives and measurement use cases, so that the appropriate inputs and modelling parameters can be defined and enabled. It is important to note that no two model setups are the same, and being very clear on the questions the organisation needs answered is critical to its success, for example:

What is the incremental return on investment across our B2B and D2C marketing campaigns? At what point does additional spend on each channel stop generating value? How does marketing activity impact test kit orders and by extension test kit returns? How long does it take for each marketing channel to take full effect on revenue? How can media budgets be allocated to maximise ROI across all channels?

Without these insights, marketers are left somewhat in the dark. But with them, they can make better, evidence-based decisions that drive results.
Recently, fifty-five deployed a Meridian-based MMM that could drive effectiveness in a market characterised by a highly fragmented ecosystem with increasing customer acquisition costs and intense competition.

The model’s ability to calibrate digital signals with offline sales and search volume data enabled smarter budget optimisation decisions, resulting in a 6.3% incremental revenue uplift and 8% increase in media ROI.

Back in control

With regulatory expectations rising and data governance under the microscope, pharma leaders are understandably concerned about data ownership and transparency.

For years, brands have been comfortable outsourcing their data and measurement initiatives to external partners and tech solutions, but there is an increasing trend towards in-housing these capabilities to ensure full visibility and control across these business-critical workstreams.

Prepackaged solutions often lack transparency, exacerbating these concerns. If marketers cannot see the assumptions made by external models, how can they truly understand exactly what is driving their results? And without the opportunity to audit, how can they trust that insights are correct?

As the volume of metrics increases and data security remains an ongoing priority, best-in-class measurement must be built within an organisation’s own environment.

While it requires internal expertise and technical resource, developing this internal capability gives brands full autonomy over how the model is set up, ensuring privacy, auditability and full control over sensitive commercial and patient-related data, as well as fostering internal trust – without ongoing licensing costs.

An advanced MMM gives marketing teams the ability to run dynamic scenario planning, automated quality assurance and actionable BI insights, without reliance on black-box vendors.

Disjointed data sets

In order to identify relevant opportunities, improve effectiveness and drive measurable returns, marketers must have access to rich, trusted data sets, and this is a significant challenge for pharma.

Diverse legacy data stacks, disconnected sources and siloed working approaches mean that data is often inconsistent or unstructured, making effective measurement and optimisation almost impossible for marketers.

In order to close this gap, pharma companies must start with a comprehensive data audit to understand how data flows across departments, identify silos and integration gaps and assess data quality, access and governance.
Centralised ownership and strong data infrastructure are the first step towards increasing marketing effectiveness, and this becomes vital where companies are deploying automation and AI.

It is no longer enough to rely on a single method of measurement, and the most effective strategies rely on a combination of MMM, multi-touch attribution (MTA) and incrementality testing. Together, these strategies can give pharma marketers a complete and accurate picture of performance drivers. Each has its own strengths and weaknesses, and it is vital to understand where they can be used for maximum advantage.

While MMM looks to analyse the entire business environment, understanding how different customer touchpoints impact interactions, conversions and sales remain crucial. Some level of MTA will always be needed to monitor and optimise daily activity, supporting bidding and reporting functions within marketing platforms.

However, restrictions around first- and third-party data mean that MTA can no longer provide marketers with the full picture, particularly when it comes to upper-funnel activity. MMM can plug those gaps.

When launching a new campaign, channel or product, insights from both MMM and MTA may not always deliver enough immediate information to make effective decisions. Brands can make assumptions based on the success of previous activity, but each launch is different and historic data has its limits. In these scenarios, incrementality testing can prove valuable.

In terms of deriving a definitive, data-driven view of effectiveness, incrementality testing remains the most robust measurement method available. Setting up strict control and exposed groups allows marketers to isolate the impact of specific variables, such as a channel or pricing change, and measure the effect of changes on sales.

Used in conjunction with MMM, incrementality testing can validate findings and identify areas where a model can be optimised or refined – and if used regularly, with further segmentation, it can reveal even deeper insights such as the value of different approaches for engaging HCPs in different fields.

When fifty-five paired MMM with incrementality testing for a global brand, the advanced, granular insights empowered the team to make bolder, data-backed decisions. The approach led to a 20% increase in marketing efficiency, saving €4 million by reallocating budgets towards high-potential levers while reducing the brand’s marketing carbon footprint by 20%.

Effective toolkit

As the marketing ecosystem evolves and fragments, measurement strategies must become more sophisticated.

MMM is often discounted as a valuable tool in this market due to historic limitations, but with open-source next-generation models many of the problems that today’s marketers face can be solved, especially when combined with MTA and incrementality testing in a coordinated, complementary way.

But measurement alone is not enough: the insights generated must be integrated into a defined measurement and activation framework to ensure that the correct decisions are made from these outputs.

As global pharma brands expand their AI-driven commercial models and global manufacturing footprints, advanced MMM, as part of a versatile and sophisticated marketing toolkit, becomes a strategic enabler by aligning investment with true incremental impact and supporting evidence-based decision-making at scale.


Nick Yang is Head of Media Tech at fifty-five London